Nortaneous wrote: ↑Tue Nov 16, 2021 10:51 pm
The idea of a wealth tax is nonsense promoted by illiterates who think Elon Musk is hoarding billions of literal dollar bills in a vault like a dragon. A wealth tax would have one of three results: an explosion in creative accounting, massive capital flight (as happened in France), or USG making the Berlin Wall look like an episode of the Teletubbies. (The US is already one of two countries to tax citizens living abroad. The other is China.)
Billionaires are not sitting on a pile of gold or dollar bills: there wouldn't be a problem if they did. They own stock, financial instrument, real estate, and everybody benefits if ownership of this was as widespread as possible.
OK, here's the deal. You've seen the curves I've seen earlier. Wealth is concentrated in relatively few hands; the process has been continuous since about the 80s; the 1% went from owning 25% of total US wealth to 40%.
This feeds from, and has consequences on the distribution of income. Your average American is making about the same he did in 1980s, even though GDP has tripled (adjusting for inflation) over the period.
That's not a very healthy situation. Americans, like the Red Queen, have been running very fast to stay in the same place.
It's not very good for business overall either: concentration of capital stifles growth and innovation. GDP has grown a lot since the 1980s, of course, but not as much as it did before. The US haven't been innovating as much as they used to. Trump noticed, correctly, that America isn't as great as it used to, or as it could be.
This wealth accumulation is a purely mechanical process. I don't think billionaires are evil, and really whether they're evil or not is irrelevant: no matter what, investment is just a very efficient way to draw income. It's all just compound interest.
If you want to slow the process, there's no solution but take some of the wealth away.
The French wealth tax is an interesting example. It really was a very moderate tax, with plenty of room for improvement (the rates were around 1%). Revenue from the wealth tax went from 2.3 billion in 2003 to 5.2 billions in 2015.
Evidently, if revenue increased, there wasn't that much capital flight. Some of that increase is due to increased wealth concentration, some of it is due to stricter laws against tax evasion and stricter enforcement.
I think this goes to prove that neither tax evasion nor capital flight are show stoppers. There will always be capital flight or tax evasions (in any case, a country like France needs some serious tax revenue and will never be able to compete with Luxembourg or the Cayman Islands!), but a) you can fight against it b) no matter what, you can't move
everything to the Cayman Islands.
The Berlin Wall analogy is interesting. The problem with that take -- and conservatives would do well to keep that in mind -- is that when people point out a problem, and you answer that there's no solution except communism, people naturally start considering communism seriously.
As an example, I'd like to point out the many, many conversations we've had on that board and the surprising turn they've taken over the last few years. I never expected to discuss socialism seriously with Americans and I never would have imagined that I would be the moderate one in the debate!