zompist wrote: ↑Mon Apr 26, 2021 5:02 pm
I like the "thrive/survive" dichotomy far better than the "coupled/decoupled" one.
Myself, I like the coupled/decoupled dichotomy, and I'm more bothered with the 'thrive/survive' thing.
My main objection is that both left and right are in full survive mode right now.
How many people now
don't feel like civilization is hanging by a thread? It's also pretty hard to explain why that is, given that we're decidedly in the most prosperous and secure period of human history so far. (I have ideas about that.)
The main divide is that each side find the other sides' concerns ridiculous or offensive.
The left feels we're about one bad day away from a fascist/capitalist dystopia, assuming we're not currently living in one, and assuming an environmental apocalypse doesn't get us first.
The right feels we're about one bad day away from a communist/lesbian dystopia, assuming we're not currently living in one, and assuming the global Jihad doesn't get us first.
Well, I know that's an unfair portrayal of both sides, and I do share most of the left-wingers' concerns and none of the conservatives'. That said, both sides seem equally gloomy these days!
That said... Maybe that explains why the left has a tendancy to fragment, and why left-wing groups hate each others' guts. (Splitters!)
This is telling, because it's absolutely backwards. No, in an apocalypse we don't all become selfish Nietzscheans. He mentions war: the usual effect of war is national unity.
That's a very interesting take. But! If we know take into account the fact that
there is no zombie apocalypse going on, a lot suddenly starts making sense.
Your average person doesn't really feel that threatened by Muslims, transgender people or worse, transgender Muslim. If you buy into, say, replacement theory, then you're surrounded by people that just don't see that they're being replaced by brown people and worse, don't even care if they are. If you want to stick with the theory, you have to assume you're surrounded by traitors! Then the siege mentality starts making a lot of sense.
One reason I dont like the "(de)coupling" axis is that it doesn't recognize that it's conservatives, not liberals, who are passionate about tribes of people like themselves. That mostly comes down to white, Christian heterosexuals. Nerst has mistaken populist resentment of minorities as a rejection of non-family attachments of any sort. No, what they don't like is having to treat people of color, Muslims, Jews, and gays as human beings. They are, and are encouraged to be, very loyal to people like themselves.
I'm not sure I agree. If you scratch a conservative long enough, you eventually get to the core of selfishness that is at the heart of the matter. There's a deep, deep fear that people of color and Muslims will end up costing you money and sex. (I'd rather not discuss the sex competition angle right now over breakfast, but believe me, it's there)
zompist wrote: ↑Mon Apr 26, 2021 5:02 pm
He's also weirdly out of date in thinking that fascists don't exist or are universally despised. Maybe in Sweden, but has he looked at continental Europe lately?
Nortaneous wrote: ↑Mon Apr 26, 2021 8:08 pm
Similar to Robin Hanson's farmer vs. forager spectrum - that's probably what the "thrive/survive" axis is garbling. But it seems designed to put the reader in "liberal", just as the original political compass was designed to put the test-taker in "libertarian", and just as Hanson's spectrum was designed to put the reader in "forager". (The several paragraphs about how the opposite of liberalism is fascism don't help.)
I believe you're both getting at the same point, in that the labels on the top/bottom axis are wrong-headed. The fact that there is a corner of evil should be a tip off that something's wrong with the analysis. The division is something else entirely.
I'd suggest 'Populist' vs 'Globalist' (though that's not idea either). Both right and left spill over into the top and bottom square.
That's why left-wingers get angry and confused at seeing fellow left-wingers having either (depending on personal preference) reactionary or capitalist views, or why right-wingers see so many of their numbers as traitors.
A Trumpist would see a 2002-vintage Bushite neocon with some suspicion (even though they agree on a lot of things): that's because neocons are kinda globalists, while Trumpists are more populists.
Then again, Sanders voters (Sanderistas?) had trouble voting for Hillary -- Bernie is left/populist whereas Hillary is left/globalist.
In French politics, there's something off with Mélenchon according to many left-wingers (including me, even though I often agree with him), this again, is due to the fact that he registers as populist. A friend of mine recently joined a very, very, very left-wing party -- and I was surprised by how much they have in common with reactionaries (hatred of the EU, for starters, and what I feel are easy answers to complex questions): again, populist vs. globalist.
The hard part is that there's really nothing wrong with being tribalist or globalist, or right-wing or left-wing. All sides can make a pretty compelling case. (It does look like the real nasty people are right/populist, but I think that's because it's where the money's at. Trump ran as a Republican but he's at heart a social parasite and sociopath with no values of his own; he could have just as easily run as a Democrat had it been possible -- he was in fact a registered one in the 90s).
To carry the Harry Potter metaphor further, the conclusion is that there's nothing wrong with being a Slytherin.
Nortaneous wrote: ↑Mon Apr 26, 2021 8:08 pm
It's basically Harry Potter houses - the two schemata are even isomorphic! - but that's still preferable to a 2x2 where the ends of both axes are labeled "good" and "bad". If you want a political typology that's accurate and useful, you could try, like, class. (Would it be "reinforcing existing hierarchies" to - another SSC proposal, IIRC - ban consideration of college degrees in the hiring process?)
Definitely! The author is amusingly aware of that; that follow-up post should be right up your alley:
https://everythingstudies.com/2020/12/1 ... l-compass/
zompist wrote: ↑Mon Apr 26, 2021 5:02 pm
Since we're all conworlders here, that's a good point. The usual political compass kind-of explains US politics in the last half-century and that's it. It'd be completely useless for (say) Italian Renaissance politics, to say nothing of the factions in the Imperial Chinese court. And alien species should throw in even more oddities.
I agree with the general point but disagree with the specifics. Political compasses are rough map to Western politics, and they sort of work from the French revolution on. If anything, they're really good at late 19th century/ early 20th century politics: you can map anarchists, tory/royalistes, whig/républicains, Labour/socialists really neatly on them.
(For that matter, there is a left/right divide in Roman politics in late Republican times)
A theory I worked out over coffee, inspired by the American politics thread: the political compass is just a natural reaction to rapid societal change. They are, at heart, a SWOT diagram. Given any change, you'll find people who love it and others who hate it. Then looking a bit further, some will try to mitigate it, and others will take advantage of it. Now, increase the magnitude and rate of change, and you get very recognizable political divides.
In a more static kind of society you get something like court factions or Guelphs vs. Ghibellines: traditional allegiances are more stable and more important. (Not that either Italian Renaissance or Imperial China were static, but you didn't have to wake up every morning and adjust to ten new technologies and five traditional societal institutions being challenged like we do.)
The pandemic is an interesting case study, I think. Pandemics are nothing new, but the virus was identified and the genome sequenced before the pandemic even got started, we had a vaccine basically from day one (most of 2020 was spent
testing it), we could quarantine everyone while keeping society relatively functional, we can test people and figure out who are aysymptomatic carriers and everyone can take a look at the numbers and try and come up with their own strategy.
None of that would have been possible ten years ago. I mean, I like to bitch about conspiracy theorists, but frankly I'm surprised there aren't more of them. If you pause to think about it, the amount of societal change involved is enough to leave you whimpering in a corner.
If, like me, the pandemic is bringing you down, a bit of an optimistic aside: if this had happened in the 70s, about one person in ten would have just died of unexplained pneumonia and nobody would have given a fuck. So really, we are getting better
and nicer.