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Re: War in the Middle East, again

Posted: Sat Sep 21, 2024 2:54 pm
by Torco
if terrorism means anything other than "le bad thing bad people do", it means this, yeah.

sooo.. we think they're going to end up invading lebanon or not?

Re: War in the Middle East, again

Posted: Sat Sep 21, 2024 3:17 pm
by Travis B.
The question is have they learned from the Israeli intervention in the Lebanon Civil War how well that went...

Re: War in the Middle East, again

Posted: Sat Sep 21, 2024 7:11 pm
by Torco
how do you mean? israel came out on top in that conflict, with much lower casualties than its adversaries iirc, and it doesn't look like it'd be very different right now.

Re: War in the Middle East, again

Posted: Sat Sep 21, 2024 7:59 pm
by Raphael
Torco wrote: Sat Sep 21, 2024 7:11 pm how do you mean? israel came out on top in that conflict, with much lower casualties than its adversaries iirc, and it doesn't look like it'd be very different right now.
Well, they never managed it to permanently control Lebanon, were faced with, from their perspective, an endless quagmire, and had to leave in the end.

Re: War in the Middle East, again

Posted: Sun Sep 22, 2024 8:13 am
by Torco
sure, but it's the same script that, say, the US enacts every couple of years: come up with some flimsy excuse, invade a random country, kill a million innocent civilians or so, say everyone who doesn't support the "our boys" is a terrorist, give a couple more gorillion dollars to defense contractors, do extensive war crimes and then withdraw from said country. it seems to keep the population nice and supportive of the government and megacorpos have a new country to pillage for a while... like it's not a failure if it works for the people making the decisions, is what I'm saying.

Re: War in the Middle East, again

Posted: Sun Sep 22, 2024 8:16 am
by Raphael
Torco wrote: Sun Sep 22, 2024 8:13 am sure, but it's the same script that, say, the US enacts every couple of years: come up with some flimsy excuse, invade a random country, kill a million innocent civilians or so, say everyone who doesn't support the "our boys" is a terrorist, give a couple more gorillion dollars to defense contractors, do extensive war crimes and then withdraw from said country. it seems to keep the population nice and supportive of the government and megacorpos have a new country to pillage for a while... like it's not a failure if it works for the people making the decisions, is what I'm saying.
It's usually generally seen as a failure afterwards, though.

Re: War in the Middle East, again

Posted: Sun Sep 22, 2024 10:01 pm
by Travis B.
Raphael wrote: Sun Sep 22, 2024 8:16 am
Torco wrote: Sun Sep 22, 2024 8:13 am sure, but it's the same script that, say, the US enacts every couple of years: come up with some flimsy excuse, invade a random country, kill a million innocent civilians or so, say everyone who doesn't support the "our boys" is a terrorist, give a couple more gorillion dollars to defense contractors, do extensive war crimes and then withdraw from said country. it seems to keep the population nice and supportive of the government and megacorpos have a new country to pillage for a while... like it's not a failure if it works for the people making the decisions, is what I'm saying.
It's usually generally seen as a failure afterwards, though.
The Iraq War, Afghanistan War, and Vietnam War are all remembered here in the US as failures or at least as pointless causes of the deaths and lasting injuries of many American servicepeople. Note that there today is a strong dichotomy between how people who served are seen and how the political leaders who sent them to fight are seen here; the former are seen in a positive light (unlike in the days of Vietnam) while the latter are seen in a negative light, as sending soldiers in harm's way for their own political goals and often making things worse than before in the long run (my parents seriously were nostalgic for the days of Saddam Hussein after it was clear that the invasion of Iraq was a clusterfuck entirely of the US gov't's own making, and that is even though Saddam Hussein was an absolutely horrible man ─ just google "Anfal").

(One note to be made is that the Iraq War is seen in a worse light than the Afghanistan War, as the latter is seen as at least having been necessary ─ after all, it was the Taliban, which sponsored Al Qaeda, who brought down the Twin Towers, who made it necessary even if it turned into a "forever war", while the former was built on a lie from the start, was completely unnecessary, and was solely for the sake of George W. Bush's political ambitions, and which turned a relatively stable if highly authoritarian country into a complete disaster.)

Re: War in the Middle East, again

Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2024 11:53 am
by Torco
*we* remember it as failures. they're probably great successes from the perspective of boeing, lockheed-martin, blackrock or vanguard. I don't think the people making these decisions care very much whether the media or the population see these things as failures or successes decades down the line, ultimately: obama still has his nobel peace prize and so on.

Re: War in the Middle East, again

Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2024 12:50 pm
by keenir
Torco wrote: Sat Sep 21, 2024 2:54 pmsooo.. we think they're going to end up invading lebanon or not?
Travis B. wrote: Sat Sep 21, 2024 3:17 pmThe question is have they learned from the Israeli intervention in the Lebanon Civil War how well that went...
Torco wrote: Sat Sep 21, 2024 7:11 pmhow do you mean? israel came out on top in that conflict, with much lower casualties than its adversaries iirc, and it doesn't look like it'd be very different right now.
Raphael wrote: Sat Sep 21, 2024 7:59 pmWell, they never managed it to permanently control Lebanon, were faced with, from their perspective, an endless quagmire, and had to leave in the end.
Hmm...well, lets just hope that nobody over there is thinking "Welp, it can't get worse, so lets see it we can try again."

Re: War in the Middle East, again

Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2024 1:18 pm
by Travis B.
Torco wrote: Mon Sep 23, 2024 11:53 am *we* remember it as failures. they're probably great successes from the perspective of boeing, lockheed-martin, blackrock or vanguard. I don't think the people making these decisions care very much whether the media or the population see these things as failures or successes decades down the line, ultimately: obama still has his nobel peace prize and so on.
Even Obama didn't think he deserved a Nobel Peace Prize, and he isn't blamed for the wars nearly as much as Dubya, as he didn't start them.

Re: War in the Middle East, again

Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2024 1:19 pm
by Travis B.
keenir wrote: Mon Sep 23, 2024 12:50 pm
Torco wrote: Sat Sep 21, 2024 2:54 pmsooo.. we think they're going to end up invading lebanon or not?
Travis B. wrote: Sat Sep 21, 2024 3:17 pmThe question is have they learned from the Israeli intervention in the Lebanon Civil War how well that went...
Torco wrote: Sat Sep 21, 2024 7:11 pmhow do you mean? israel came out on top in that conflict, with much lower casualties than its adversaries iirc, and it doesn't look like it'd be very different right now.
Raphael wrote: Sat Sep 21, 2024 7:59 pmWell, they never managed it to permanently control Lebanon, were faced with, from their perspective, an endless quagmire, and had to leave in the end.
Hmm...well, lets just hope that nobody over there is thinking "Welp, it can't get worse, so lets see it we can try again."
I bet that Netanyahu thinks Sabra and Shatila was a good thing, and given the opportunity would do it again.

(Disclaimer: Yes, I know Netanyahu was not responsible for Sabra and Shatila - that was Sharon.)