Re: AIs gunning for our precious freelancers
Posted: Fri Dec 15, 2023 3:13 am
I wondered where all the horses had gone.
Crossing our fingers
https://verduria.org/
Well, we still have horses, but use them mainly for recreational purposes. And it has been said that the horses are now better off than when they had to labour on farms etc.; however, I don't know whether that's true. But AGIs do not necessarily lead to SkyNet; they could also lead to a leisure society. But because they could "go wrong Skynet-wise", as the Pantopia characters say, we'd better be very careful.
Either way, horsekind is not the master of its own destiny. Horses still exist because we find them entertaining and once they've outlived their usefulness to us, they get turned into glue. They have no means to hold us accountable for how we treat them nor even the means to understand our plans for them. What humans need is an alternative to both agonizing toil and the indignity of domestication.WeepingElf wrote: ↑Fri Dec 15, 2023 5:15 amWell, we still have horses, but use them mainly for recreational purposes. And it has been said that the horses are now better off than when they had to labour on farms etc.; however, I don't know whether that's true. But AGIs do not necessarily lead to SkyNet; they could also lead to a leisure society. But because they could "go wrong Skynet-wise", as the Pantopia characters say, we'd better be very careful.
That basically means that humans will have to accept lower wages and worse working conditions to remain competitive with computers. If they demand higher wages or more time off, AGI will become the cheaper option. Putting it into perspective, those clothes are made by toddlers getting paid five cents an hour. That's the level of deprivation many human workers currently endure to remain competitive with machines. Imagine if every field of employment, even highly prestigious ones like science and acting, had similar competition and pressure to accept horrible wages and working conditions.Travis B. wrote: ↑Thu Dec 14, 2023 7:59 pmFundamentally, humans are cheap to employ, whereas any AGI that can compete with humans with regard to intelligence using present-day (or near-future) technology will be prohibitively expensive to compete with real live humans. This is the same reason that clothes are made by real live humans in third-world countries rather than by intricate automated equipment - real live humans are fundamentally cheap at the end of the day.
"People's investments in our bank robbing scheme could be worth a lot less if we're forced to pay back the money that we stole from the banks."https://twitter.com/neilturkewitz/status/1722269406645076091 wrote:“Andreessen Horowitz is warning that billions of dollars in AI investments could be worth a lot less if companies developing the technology are forced to pay for the copyrighted data that makes it work.”
Considering that we already have humans for everything that AI is meant to solve, it seems hard to see anything useful remaining. Nobody outside the tech industry considers artwork or literature drudgery in need of automation. I must also question the assumption that AI is a bubble waiting to burst. Plenty of new technologies have failed to make their mark but others have become integral parts of life and radically changed the world. For every segway, there is an airplane or computer.zompist wrote: ↑Wed Jan 03, 2024 6:41 pm Interesting article from Cory Doctorow: is the AI bubble likely to leave useful residue or little at all?
I think there's a lot to be done in image interpretation, classification; also better OCR and more generally automatically handling paper documents.zompist wrote: ↑Wed Jan 03, 2024 6:41 pm Interesting article from Cory Doctorow: is the AI bubble likely to leave useful residue or little at all?
Sounds like an insane perspective. In my experience, most young people consider websites without "art" dripping from every pore, most of which they never glance at twice, to be "boomer websites". Once consumption is normalized, production must follow.
The difference between humans on the one hand and machines or animals on the other is that only humans can create a real headache for corporations by rising up to demand higher wages.malloc wrote: ↑Sat Nov 18, 2023 8:35 pm All that will change once they've cracked AGI which seems inevitable given the sheer amount of resources going to AI and its rapid pace of development. Marx was writing in an age when most people (possibly even Marx himself for all I know) still denied humans were animals who evolved through natural selection. Today we know there is no ontological gap between humans and any animal, only degrees of neurological development and behavioral complexity.
Marx's prototype of the "Dictatorship of the Proletariat" was the Paris Commune.Travis B. wrote: ↑Tue Oct 31, 2023 12:26 pm The issue here probably has to do with how people other than Marx interpreted the idea of the "dictatorship of the proletariat" - if interpreted as meaning rule by a state in the name of the proletariat, it certainly is authoritarian, but interpreted as meaning the direct rule by the proletariat as a whole rather than by some proxy for them, as interpreted by libertarian Marxists, it is not authoritarian. This has been magnified by the conflation of Leninism with Marxism, where the idea of "dictatorship of the proletariat" has been taken to mean a literal dictatorship by a vanguard party acting in the name of the proletariat.
Speaking of the AI bubble, why does the character recognition on my smartphone still suck? It recognizes only ~95% of my finger-written characters, which is high enough success rate to be useful, but low enough to still be constantly annoying. Surely we have enough computing power to train a neural net to read characters more than 95% accurately by now? If nothing else, I would appreciate it if the AI bubble solved at least this problem for me...zompist wrote: ↑Wed Jan 03, 2024 6:41 pm Interesting article from Cory Doctorow: is the AI bubble likely to leave useful residue or little at all?
Because high-quality AI recognition would require at least a high-end GPU/NPU on your smartphone that would kill your battery life?jcb wrote: ↑Sat Jan 13, 2024 3:36 amSpeaking of the AI bubble, why does the character recognition on my smartphone still suck? It recognizes only ~95% of my finger-written characters, which is high enough success rate to be useful, but low enough to still be constantly annoying. Surely we have enough computing power to train a neural net to read characters more than 95% accurately by now? If nothing else, I would appreciate it if the AI bubble solved at least this problem for me...zompist wrote: ↑Wed Jan 03, 2024 6:41 pm Interesting article from Cory Doctorow: is the AI bubble likely to leave useful residue or little at all?
What makes you think that companies won't just push to have what AI chatbots say be immune from prosecution?, like how currently self-driving cars that break traffic laws are immune to traffic tickets: https://www.nbcnews.com/business/busine ... rcna131538Raphael wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2024 1:01 pm Any chance that this might make executive types rethink?
https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/202 ... s-chatbot/