This area is the particular hobbyhorse of Matt Yglesias. Briefly: Western countries don't like high housing costs, but refuse to do the obvious thing: build houses. Instead they are fixated on fighting "development" and zoning to prevent high-density housing. Progressives are as bad as conservatives in this area— they tend to think that (say) a rent freeze will somehow benefit everyone, rather than just locking in benefits for current renters.Ares Land wrote: ↑Tue May 18, 2021 4:13 am A lot of capital in Western countries is locked up in real estate. A suburban house in the general Paris area is worth about one million euros now (and Londoners would think of that as an incredible bargain), and sure, some capital allocation would help...But how much?
The thing is, we have an example of an opposing strategy that works: Japan. I'm too lazy to look up the cite right now, but it builds housing at something like four times the rate as San Francisco or London. Result: housing is cheaper. Amazing! But in this one area, otherwise rational people contort themselves to believe that increasing supply will not lower prices and that we need to throttle the supply instead.
Funding is not a reason to dismiss big ideas. For now, borrowing costs very little, so we should make use of that while we can. Deficits are not as bad as we were once led to believe. (They were routinely immense in the 19th century.) And if we want to, you know, pay for things, the answer is easy: tax the rich as we used to.I'm quite taken with the sheer elegance of UBI... But I've had questions for years now, which still remain unanswered, chiefly: how do we fund it in the first place? I don't see how this won't end up subsidizing badly paid jobs either. I'm not too comfortable with having people entirely dependant on the state either.
(I don't know if that applies to France so much as the US. But Piketty also advocates a wealth tax.)
I think some form of UBI is probably essential for a more equal and robust society. Things change too fast to hope that (say) everyone will get factory jobs, or computer jobs. Plus, it turns out that giving people money is actually very effective. The relatively small amounts people have gotten here as Covid assistance made a big difference for the poor. And money can be distributed very efficiently! Adding a whole bureaucracy to micromanage welfare is by contrast very costly.
I have two qualms, though.
One is that it'll be half-assed. Piketty mentions a UBI of half the minimum wage. This would not be useless— again, when you're poor, more money is good, far more than it'd be for a richer person. But it seems like our goal for society should be more than guaranteeing a miserable floor. What about, oh, enabling ordinary people to have a place to live, enough to eat, and health care?
The other is that though money benefits are good, not everything can be addressed that way— notably, housing costs and health care. You give people health care by guaranteeing health care, not (just) by giving them money. Basically: any specific money amount can be overwhelmed by a health crisis or a housing boom.
I think it's a fine idea, but again, money helps but doesn't solve all problems. Here, the amount he proposes would not pay for a college education, or more than a tiny house or apartment. It could be easily swallowed by one medical crisis. If you used it for ordinary expenses... well, consider that it amounts to about six years of poverty-level income. Ot to put it another way, it's a year's income for (say) a developer.I've run the 'inheritance for all' idea by several people, and most of them reject it. Rather violently, I should add, even people who are usually more left-wing than I am.
My guess is that those left-wing folks recognize that all these ideas would be a band-aid on late capitalism. Capitalism with a safety net sure beats capitalism with no safety net. But you don't even have to be very far left to believe that unbridled and increasing plutocracy was a very bad idea.